TSM Expected Move
TSM $427.00 · Updated Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET
The options market prices TSM to move about $15.40 (3.6%) by Oct 30, 2026, a range of $411.60 to $442.40. For Nov 27, 2026 (32 days out) the expected move is $34.15 (8.0%).
EXPECTED MOVE BY EXPIRATION
| Expiration | DTE | Straddle | IV (1 sd) | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 4 | $15.40 | $18.27 | $411.60 | $442.40 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 11 | $22.23 | $27.27 | $404.78 | $449.23 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 18 | $27.15 | $33.76 | $399.85 | $454.15 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 25 | $31.78 | $39.57 | $395.23 | $458.78 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 32 | $34.15 | $42.14 | $392.85 | $461.15 |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 39 | $37.68 | $47.08 | $389.33 | $464.68 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 53 | $44.98 | $55.98 | $382.03 | $471.98 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 81 | $56.90 | $70.98 | $370.10 | $483.90 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 116 | $68.03 | $84.87 | $358.98 | $495.03 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 144 | $76.07 | $95.36 | $350.93 | $503.08 |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 172 | $84.50 | $106.16 | $342.50 | $511.50 |
How this is calculated: Expected Move methodology · Expected move calculator